Sea level rise is going to have significant consequences for coastal communities worldwide. This project aims to co-develop with potential users a coastal resilience service focusing on sea level projections, extreme water levels, storm surges and weather patterns. Coastal Decider is a medium to long range forecasting tool that gives the probability of coastal-risk weather patterns affecting different stretches of the UK coastline. We are using this tool to assess the relative importance of sea level rise and changing frequency of weather patterns on coastal risk. This project is currently focusing on projections to mid-century and end-century using RCP 2.6, RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5.
Rachel is a Marine Scientist with the Met Office, where she uses climate models to research how changing sea levels and storm surges effect coastal risk. Most recently she has assisted in the review of the Thames Estuary 2100 – 10-year review project. She has several years’ experience working across both the public and private sectors. Her previous experience focused on coastal flood risk where she built coastal modelling suites to simulate wave transformation processes, wave overtopping discharge rates and flood inundation.